Russian personnel refuses to return from Kazakhstan to avoid participation in the war against Ukraine — Intelligence

The Russian military contingent, stationed in Kazakhstan, refuses to leave the country's territory and return to permanent deployment, reports the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine.

The formal reason for the refusal is the lack of special air transport, which is fully involved in the war with Ukraine.

According to intelligence, the real reason is that Russian personnel want to avoid participation in the war against Ukraine. 
However, the command of the Russian Federation does not abandon its intentions to completely withdraw the troops from the territory of Kazakhstan, which was introduced there during the suppression of the January anti-government rallies.
According to Defence Intelligence, approximately a thousand military personnel are currently stationed in Kazakhstan. They are located near critical infrastructure facilities: airfields, military training grounds, oil depots, the Baikonur Cosmodrome, etc.

The Russian command also almost completely withdrew its military contingents from the territories of Tajikistan and Armenia to participate in the war against Ukraine.
Earlier, Vladimir Putin, signed a decree obliging to increase the Russian army by 137,000 soldiers to 1.15 million personnel.
Putin also ordered to allocate money for decree implementation from the federal budget. The changes should come into effect in 2023.

In general, the number of Russia's armed forces should now increase to 2 million 39 thousand people. In addition to the military, these also include civilian personnel.

The Institute for the Study of War says that the increase in the number of Russian troops from January 2023 is unlikely to increase the combat power of the Russian army significantly. And it also indicates that Putin is unlikely to order general mobilization anytime soon.

Analysts predict that the Kremlin is unlikely to build up enough forces to reach the final strength of more than 1,150,000 soldiers as called for in the decree.